Do the Cavaliers Even Want the #1 National Seed?


Last weekend's loss to Wake Forest might have been a blessing in disguise for the Cavaliers as they enter the final week before the NCAA Tournament.

Last weekend the Hoos raveled to Winston Salem and dropped their first weekend series of the season. Not many saw it as a cause for concern; as they should not have. Many however saw it affecting UVa's National Seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. In Kendall Roger's latest projection, he has the Hoos falling from the top overall seed to the #3 overall seed. Baseball America hasn't come out with their projection, but still lists UVa as a lock for a National Seed in their Stock Report. So, does it matter?

I wanted to see over the last ten years what the history of the national seeds has been. Since we know college baseball didn't even start until 2004 when Coach O'Connor arrived in Charlottesville, I decided to start there.

First things first, no #1 seed has won the National Championship in the last ten years. Only twice has the #1 seed even made the final series ('04 & '09). The good news for 1 seeds is that they have made Omaha the most frequently out of the last ten years; getting there nine out of ten times. That lone time was 2007 when Vanderbilt lose to Michigan in the Regionals (We were opposite that Regional and would have hosted had we defeated Oregon St.).

If UVa wants to get to Omaha, which is the goal every year, earning that National Seed is very important. On average, 4.4 of the 8 teams that have gotten to Omaha have been a National Seed. Only three times have less than four National Seeds gotten to Omaha, but only twice have there been more than five. Omaha has never seen more than six get there.

Seed Trips to Omaha Seed Trips to Omaha
1 9/10 5 3/10
2 7/10 6 3/10
3 8/10 7 4/10
4 5/10 8 5/10

It seems rather counter-intuitive to think, but if the Hoos want to win the whole thing, maybe they don't want to be a National Seed at all. Over the last ten years, a National Seed has only won "the whole damn thing" twice. In 2009, #3 seed LSU beat #1 seed Texas in 3 games, and #4 seed USC beat #2 seed Florida.

Entering last weekend, the #1 seed appeared to be UVa's to lose. They might have lost it, but maybe it will end up being a blessing in disguise.

Log In Sign Up

Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Streaking The Lawn

You must be a member of Streaking The Lawn to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Streaking The Lawn. You should read them.

Join Streaking The Lawn

You must be a member of Streaking The Lawn to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Streaking The Lawn. You should read them.




Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.