Virginia absolutely crushed Wake Forest yesterday afternoon, run ruling them right off the field 13-1 in 6.5 innings. The Hoos came into the tournament on a rare three-game losing streak after being swept last weekend at North Carolina. Virginia pitcher Tyler Wilson said it was important to "just flush it. Hit reset."
Speaking of fourth-seeded North Carolina, they gave up a 5-0 lead to fifth-seeded Miami, whose rally began with a 4-run sixth inning and finished with a 7-5 victory.
This has to come as a bit of a sigh of relief for Virginia fans after going 0-3 against the Tar Heels. With a win tomorrow against Miami, Virginia's odds of advancing to the championship game on Sunday would shoot up to 87.5% (based solely on possible, rather than probable, scenarios).
As it stands, Virginia's odds of advancing are at 50%, while Miami's is at 37.5% and UNC and Wake Forest are both sitting at 6.25% each (only one possible scenario for each). The full breakdown follows the jump.With a hat tip to TheSabre.com poster "Kenny Saw," who originally laid out all the possible scenarios following Game 1, here's a breakdown of what could happen going forward:
|Scenarios||Game 1||Game 2||Game 3||Game 4||Game 5||Game 6||Advancing Team|