Virginia earned its highest seed in the ACC Tournament since 2007, when the Hoos were seeded second, bowing out to NC State in the Quarterfinals (Virginia's first game). This year, the Hoos are seeded fourth and will face the winner of Boston College or ...NC State. In fact, the Hoos haven't advanced past the ACC Tournament Quarterfinals since 1995, and are the only team in the conference not to have made the semifinals at least once since 2006. So what are the odds Virginia breaks this drought this year?
Vegas odds give Virginia a 12-1 shot at winning the entire ACC Tournament. North Carolina is a clear favorite, followed by, as the seedings would suggest, Duke, then Florida State. The odds of one of other eight teams winning the conference are 10-1. Here's what Vegas says:
| Team | Odds |
| North Carolina | 1/2 |
| Duke | 12/5 |
| Florida State | 8/1 |
| Field (Any other team) | 10/1 |
| VIRGINIA | 12/1 |
Ken Pomeroy, whose system has favored Virginia for much for the season, actually places Virginia as the third favorite, over Florida State. The Hoos have a 67.4% chance of reaching the semifinals, a 20.6% chance of reaching the championship game, and a 10.4% chance of winning it all. Pomeroy also doesn't think Carolina is such an overwhelming favorite as Vegas would suggest.
| Seed | Team | Qtrs | Semis | Final | Champ |
| 1 | North Carolina | 100 | 94.2 | 71.8 | 52.2 |
| 2 | Duke | 100 | 77 | 48.2 | 19.8 |
| 4 | Virginia | 100 | 67.3 | 20.6 | 10.4 |
| 3 | Florida State | 100 | 63 | 29.9 | 9.9 |
| 6 | Miami FL | 82.9 | 34.8 | 13.9 | 3.7 |
| 5 | N.C. State | 90.6 | 32.2 | 6.6 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Clemson | 56.5 | 14.1 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 10 | Virginia Tech | 43.5 | 8.9 | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| 8 | Maryland | 64.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 11 | Georgia Tech | 17.1 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.02 |
| 9 | Wake Forest | 35.4 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.02 |
| 12 | Boston Coll. | 9.4 | 0.5 | 0.02 | 0.0009 |
Let's all take a moment to look at Boston College and appreciate that number.
And now let's take a moment to apologize to the Karma Gods for having done that.
The Cavaliers will take on either NC State or Boston College on Friday at 2:00 p.m. in Atlanta, and will do so without center Assane Sene, who has missed the past 13 games due to injuries, but was suspended yesterday due to a violation of team rules.
For more on N.C. State, visit Backing the Pack. For more on Boston College, visit BC Interruption.