The Virginia men's basketball team has been projected as the No. 3 team in the nation, according to the season's first rating by Ken Pomeroy.
Pomeroy's site uses a myriad of mathematical formulas to rank teams, and takes into account offensive and defensive efficiency (points scored and given up per 100 possessions), tempo, and strength of schedule.
UVa has been rated No. 3 according to the system, behind Kentucky and top-ranked Duke. Some other notes from Virginia's (very early) projections:
- The only predicted loss is a 68-63 defeat at Duke. Virginia hasn't won at Cameron Indoor Stadium since 1995.
- UVa is projected to finish one game behind Duke in the regular season ACC standings at 13-5, with a 21-7 overall record. The last two games of the Charleston Classic haven't been added because those opponents are TBD.
- The road games against Miami, Louisville, Pitt, and Florida State have the lowest win confidences of the other ACC games.
- At 67 percent, the Villanova game is one of two home games (the other being North Carolina at 71) that doesn't have a win confidence of 78 percent or better. Ohio State has the lowest win confidence of a non-conference game at 62 percent.
All of those are subject to change depending on how the season plays out for UVa and their opponents. So, does any of this sound right to y'all?