We're just over three hours away from Virginia's matchup against the Duke Blue Devils in Durham and, as far as Las Vegas is concerned, Duke is the team to beat. We here at StreakingTheLawn wish financial prosperity on all our readers, so we're breaking down the available lines and our predictions.
Note: All lines are from Bovada. Gambling is illegal in many states and we in no way encourage any readers to actually place wagers on this or any other game.
Game Line: Duke -2
The story lines here are obvious. Virginia has not won at Cameron Indoor Stadium since 1995. For Duke, it's Coach K's 69th birthday and the Blue Devils are coming off their best win of the season, a 72-65 win over Louisville at home last Monday. Still, the Devils are just 1-2 against ranked teams this season and UVa is playing their best basketball to date, having won 7 straight. The game stays close but Virginia wins.
Prediction: Take the Hoos and the points (unless you want to emotionally hedge).
Over/Under: 138 total points
This one could go either way. On the one hand, Duke has scored over 70 points in each of their last five games and broken 80 in four of the five. On the contrary, Virginia has each of their last four opponents to 50 points or fewer. When these two teams have met in the past, however, Virginia has controlled the pace. The last three games have had point totals of 132, 135, and 134. Expect more of the same today.
Prediction: Virginia controls the pace and the under hits.
Player Props: Grayson Allen Over/Under 2.5 made three-pointers; Grayson Allen Over/Under 20 total points
A phenomenal Ted Cruz lookalike who occasionally resorts to dirty play, Allen has been the focal point of the Duke offense all season. On the year Allen averages 20.8 points and 2.25 made threes per game. Allen has cooled off a bit lately though, eclipsing the 20 point barrier in only three of Duke's last nine games. While his overall scoring has diminished, his three point output has increased and he's made at least three long range shots in five of those same nine games, including the last three. The Virginia defense has been great lately, but when its faltered it has been because opponents got open looks from three.
Prediction: Under 20 total points but over 2.5 made three-pointers.
Agree? Disagree? Share your thoughts below and make sure to join the gamethread at 4:30 to cheer on the Hoos.