No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers (21-5, 10-4 ACC) vs. No. 12/11 Miami Hurricanes (21-5, 10-4 ACC)
Spread: Vegas: UVA +1.5; KenPom: UVA 65, Miami 64 (50%)
Last Meeting: Virginia 66, Miami 58 (January 12, 2016)
Games don't get much closer—or more meaningful—than this. KenPom pegs the matchup as a 50-50 coin flip, but with Virginia holding the oh-so-slim one-point margin. Both teams are still in the thick of things for the ACC regular season title and the #1 seed in the ACC Tournament. For Virginia, the path is clear: Just win, baby.
Will the Hoos' week off prove to be a boon to legs tired toward the end of a grueling season, or will it have given rust a chance to set in? Will Miami come out firing after an embarrassing loss to North Carolina, or did the Heels break their spirit? We'll find out by the end of the night.