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Path of Least Resistance: UVa Football’s Trek to a Coastal Title

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Virginia v North Carolina Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images

With their big road win on Saturday at UNC, the Virginia Cavaliers cemented themselves on top of the dumpster fire that is the ACC Coastal Division. Just two games remain for the Hoos, seeking their first appearance in the ACC Championship Game in program history, and the 7th different team to represent the Coastal in seven years.

There are many paths UVa can take to the Coastal title. The easiest would be to simply win out.

Beat the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Saturday, beat the Virginia Tech Hokies for the first time in many high schoolers’ lives, end the ACC season 6-2, and moonwalk to Charlotte (to be sacrificed to Dabo Jesus).

But this is UVa and if it could get complicated, it will. So, with the most likely outcome being UVa loses the last weekend of the season to the Hokies, would it be possible for UVa to win the Coastal even before the game?

YES! And it’s fairly reasonable too.

Here’s a nifty little chart for you:

ACC Coastal Remaining

Team Record 11/9 11/16 11/23 Record Entering Last Weekend 11/30
Team Record 11/9 11/16 11/23 Record Entering Last Weekend 11/30
UVA 4-2 vs. GT __ __ 5-2 vs. VT
Pitt 3-2 vs. UNC at VT 4-3 vs. BC
Miami 3-3 vs. Louisville __ __ 3-4 at Duke
UNC 3-3 __ at Pitt __ 4-3 at NC St
VT 2-2 vs. Wake at GT vs. Pitt 3-4 at UVa
Duke 2-3 __ vs. Cuse at Wake 3-4 vs. Miami
GT 1-4 at UVa vs. VT vs. NC St 1-7 __

(BOLD = a win for that team, a __ means either a bye or an out of conference game with no impact on the Coastal race)

In order for UVa’s game against VT at the end of the season to be meaningless, the Cavaliers need the following:

  • The Pittsburgh Panthers to go 1-1 against VT and UNC giving them three losses heading into the final weekend. (Ideally losing to UNC and beating VT)
  • The Miami-Florida Hurricanes to lose to the Louisville Cardinals giving them their 4th loss and not forcing UVa into a tiebreaker scenario with them.
  • Virginia Tech to lose at least two of three in their games against Wake, GT, and Pitt putting their record at 3-4 entering the final weekend.

Certainly possible and except maybe for Pitt losing to UNC at home, even probable, but this is Virginia athletics, so hopes and dreams are not to be trifled with.