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ACC Weekend Betting Preview: Week 7

Looking to bounce back after a 3-5 week

NCAA Football: Virginia at Miami Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

After starting last weekend 3-0, it was all down from there. And like our Virginia Cavaliers, the last two weeks have been ones to forget. Here’s hoping we get back on the horse and get a week in the win column.

Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals
Louisville -5; Over/Under 61

Of course Florida State does that last week. Don’t look now, but the Seminoles have covered two weeks in a row, against two good teams nonetheless. I’ve been really disappointed with Louisville all season long and just am not seeing the fire from their offense like I expected. That’s the difference. Louisville won’t be able to run away from Florida State and new QB Jordan Travis will keep it within striking range.

Pick: Florida State +5

Syracuse Orange @ Clemson Tigers
Clemson -46; Over/Under 62

46 points? Are you kidding me? Yeah, I’m gonna lay it. Syracuse is the worst team in the STL Weekly Power Rankings and last week I vowed to take the points with Clemson as long as they’re playing an ACC opponent. Syracuse is an ACC opponent (technically).

Pick: Clemson -46

N.C. State Wolfpack @ North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina -14.5; Over/Under 60.5

North Carolina probably could have won that game last week if either they hadn’t dug a hole or the game was just a little longer. Sam Howell and company can put up points and N.C. State’s defense won’t provide much of a road block. The only thing that worries me is whether or not N.C. State can score without Devin Leary. I think they can behind their running game and UNC’s inability to force pressure. In the end, it’s too many points to back the ‘Heels, but I do like a lot of scoring.

Pick: Over 60.4

Virginia Tech Hokies @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Wake Forest +10.5; Over/Under 68

I still don’t know what to take from last week, whether Virginia just played very poorly once again or if Wake Forest (like N.C. State) is actually good. Virginia Tech is beating teams, but I’m not sure they’re elite. Wake Forest should be pesky, and given the huge total, there should be a lot of points. In back and forth games like that where even the team trailing can score, I lean towards taking the points.

Pick: Wake Forest +10.5

Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Pittsburgh Panthers
Pitt +10 Over/Under 43

The total on this game opened at 49.5 and has precipitously dropped to 43. Many are probably looking at the Irish’s 12-7 barn burner against Louisville last week and the fact that Pitt could only muster 19 points without Kenny Pickett against Miami. There should be more scoring in this game even though Pickett is still out. At this time, we don’t have official word, but I like projecting what the line will do when we get official word. I expect the line to move towards Notre Dame if Pickett is out so we get some value if we predict he won’t play and get the Irish at -10.

Pick: Notre Dame -10

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Boston College Eagles
Boston College -3.5, Over/Under 56.5

Boston College hung with the Hokies a week ago, though there wasn’t as much scoring as I thought there would be. I like Phil Jursovec, and outside of beating Florida State (when they were horrendous) and Louisville (who might not be good at all), Georgia Tech hasn’t looked great this year. The half point over a field goal is not ideal, but I think BC can take this one down.

Pick: Boston College -3.5

Virginia Cavaliers @ Miami-Florida Hurricanes
Miami -13.5, Over/Under 55

Speaking of line movement. Did anyone else see the line move before Virginia’s game with Wake Forest? When I wrote this article, it was Virginia -2, but as the news that Brennan Armstrong wasn’t going to play came out, it swung as far at Virginia +2.5. Four and a half points is massive, and it makes me question how much the books are in tuned with college football injuries. I know there was nothing definitive, but I thought Armstrong was much more of a long shot to play and the line movement should have occurred only if he was declared active. Oh well, I’d have been wrong anyways as I would have hammered Virginia +2.5. As for the Hoos, that’s two weeks in a row where Virginia just didn’t look right and makes you wonder if it’s just going to be that kind of season. Facing Miami will be a tall task as the Hurricanes have the ability to score quickly and the Cavaliers are susceptible to big plays. I like what Virginia did with using multiple looks at quarterback giving them a little bit of deception on offense. Add to that a narrative that the Hoos play Miami tough and I think they can keep it close. The big plays scare me which is why I’m hesitant to take the Hoos, but I do like scoring.

Pick: Over 55

Record: 22-15-1