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ACC Football Betting Preview: Week 10

We’re back to the point where you might just want to do the opposite of these picks

NCAA Football: Virginia at Louisville Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

Well that was a beating last week. 1-4 and it wasn’t particularly close. Here’s to a bounce back this week.

Miami-Florida Hurricanes @ Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech -2.5; Over/Under 69

I have no idea how to handicap the Hokies. I would have gotten last week’s under correct if they had just decided to play a little defense. This total has been out of control opening at 62.5 and now up to 68. I have a hard time going over, but after watching these two teams over the last two weeks, I’m certainly not risking the under. Perhaps there was some look ahead factor at play against the Flames last week, so call me crazy and give me the Hokies.

Pick: VaTech -2.5

Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina -13.5; Over/Under 69.5

It’s not a fluke that our Streaking the Lawn Power Rankings have the Demon Deacons at number five. Since an 0-2 start (with one of those losses to Clemson), Wake Forest has railed off four straight wins. I get the love for North Carolina, but think the books still don’t believe in Wake. If UNC could put together a full four quarters, I’d feel more comfortable laying the points, but until I see them put it all together, 13 is just too much.

Pick: Wake Forest +13.5

Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Boston College Eagles
Boston College +11.5; Over/Under 51

What to do about Notre Dame? Coming off their biggest win in years, they travel to face a Boston College team who has some history taking down the Domers after a big win. Notre Dame sold out to stop Travis Etienne and thus allowed DJ Uiagalelei to throw for 439 yards. That won’t happen again. Boston College won’t be able to get anything going on the ground, but it won’t be because that’s Notre Dame’s focus. Phil Jursovec has been fantastic and will have the revenge narrative at play as he squares off against his old squad, but it won’t be enough. All season, Notre Dame has been the best team in the ACC at getting the job done, and this week won’t be any different.

Pick: Notre Dame -11.5

Louisville Cardinals @ Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia -3.5; Over/Under 66

I got burned two weeks ago betting the under when the Hoos faced North Carolina. Honestly, I still think the analysis was sound, I just didn’t anticipate the Hoos jumping out to such a big lead. The same logic applies this week, as I don’t think Louisville is nearly as explosive as North Carolina. Virginia should be able to control the clock as long as they limit Louisville’s big plays.

Pick: Under 66

Florida State Seminoles @ N.C. State Wolfpack
N.C. State -10.5; Over/Under 59.5

If only I’d stuck to my guns and faded Florida State all season. Based on some of the departures from the program, it appears as if Florida Sate has given up on the season. It is possible though, that the guys deciding to leave the program will put a chip on the shoulders of the guys who remain, but I’ll take my chances. N.C. State has lost to the best teams they’ve played this year, but Florida State isn’t in those teams’ ballpark.

Pick: N.C. State -10.5

Record: 31-24-1