After another 2-0 week seeing UVa win their two games by a combined 3 points, the Virginia Cavaliers’ NCAA Tournament resume is looking slightly better this week.
Right now, despite winning five of their last six, they are still 55th in the NET, which is roughly where they were despite this resurgence. Much of that is due to the NET taking efficiency into account. UVa is winning, but not winning very beautifully, and the computers are not giving them much benefit.
Here is how the NCAA Tournament selection committee’s NET report would look today for UVa:
South Carolina’s winning streak has bumped their NET ranking up allowing them to move into the Quad 2 range while Virginia Tech’s fall from grace has hurt UVa’s resume. Tech won over the weekend and if they can win a few more games, that could give UVa another chance at a Quad 1 game when UVa travels to Blacksburg later this month. Thanks to beating Louisville over the weekend, Clemson is also close to moving into the Quad 2.
The other teams to root for would be Boston College (not against UVa this week) and Arizona State. If Boston College can just move up 7 more spots, that early January loss in Chestnut Hill would move up to Quad 2 and eliminate all of the Quad 3 and 4 losses from the resume. Arizona State’s jump has gifted UVa another Quad 1 victory. If the Sundevils can keep winning and cement another Q1 game for UVa, future possible losses to Duke and Louisville won’t look so bad.
With 6 games remaining and only two, maybe three, of those games being Quad 1 games, UVa need to take care of business against the lesser teams of Pittsburgh, Miami, and Boston College. Winning those three games alone would get UVa’s ACC record to 12-8, which we thought would be good enough for an at-large bid, but winning one of the remaining other three games would obviously be huge for the Cavaliers’ resume.